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Long-COVID: Phase 2 of the COVID-19 Pandemic

      Attainment of over 70% COVID-19 vaccination in most areas of the U.S.A. has changed the predominant impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection from a pandemic of severe acute pulmonary infection in Phase 1 to prolonged debilitating involvement of brain, cardiovascular system, gastrointestinal system, lungs and some endocrine organs in Phase 2 (Table 1).
      • Scudellari M.
      How the coronavirus infects cells - and why Delta is so dangerous.
      • Lopez-Leon S
      • Wegman-Ostrosky T
      • Perelman C
      • et al.
      More than 50 long-term effects of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Liu YH
      • Chen Y
      • Wang QH
      • et al.
      One-Year Trajectory of Cognitive Changes in Older Survivors of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: A Longitudinal Cohort Study.
      • Taquet M
      • Geddes JR
      • Husain M
      • Luciano S
      • Harrison PJ.
      6-month neurological and psychiatric outcomes in 236 379 survivors of COVID-19: a retrospective cohort study using electronic health records.
      • Douaud G
      • Lee S
      • Alfaro-Almagro F
      • et al.
      SARS-CoV-2 is associated with changes in brain structure in UK Biobank.
      • Xie Y
      • Xu E
      • Bowe B
      • Al-Aly Z
      Long-term cardiovascular outcomes of COVID-19.
      • Xie Y
      • Al-Aly Z.
      Risks and burdens of incident diabetes in long COVID: a cohort study.
      In both phases, SARS-CoV-2 must enter normal cells to reproduce and spread to other cells. In Phase 1, pulmonary and immune system cells are invaded first, to the greatest extent and persistently.
      • Patterson BK
      • Francisco EB
      • Yogendra R
      • et al.
      Persistence of SARS CoV-2 S1 Protein in CD16+ Monocytes in Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) up to 15 Months Post-Infection.
      In Phase 2, there is sustained infection of cells in many organ systems when viral RNA is no longer detectable in blood. SARS-CoV-2 infected immune and other cells are compromised by two major viral mechanisms: 1) adoption of viral RNA replication and reduction of host cell RNA translation with consequently diminished host cell production of vital functional proteins, and 2) occupancy of host cell mitochondria with resultant decreases in cellular energy (ATP) generation, immune and other resistance to SARS-CoV-2, effective reduction-oxidation homeostasis, and production of cell protective peptides.
      • Scudellari M.
      How the coronavirus infects cells - and why Delta is so dangerous.
      ,
      • Alfarouk KO
      • Alhoufie STS
      • Hifny A
      • et al.
      Of mitochondrion and COVID-19.
      ,
      • Singh KK
      • Chaubey G
      • Chen JY
      • Suravajhala P.
      Decoding SARS-CoV-2 hijacking of host mitochondria in COVID-19 pathogenesis.
      Host cells often survive, but their major functions are impaired. In the brain, this may even result in macroscopic structural lesions.
      • Douaud G
      • Lee S
      • Alfaro-Almagro F
      • et al.
      SARS-CoV-2 is associated with changes in brain structure in UK Biobank.
      Table 1Phases of the COVID-19 pandemic.
      Phase 1: 2019-2021Phase 2: 2022- ?
      Vulnerable population
      • v
        Rapid spread
      • v
        High % severe pulmonary disease
      • v
        High % mortality
      • v
        Facilities & personnel overload
      Host immune defects
      • v
        Low interferon responses
      • v
        Viral invasion of immune cells
      Initiation of testing, isolation/protectionLimited treatments
      • v
        Convalescent plasma
      • v
        Monoclonal antibodies
      • v
        Few drugs- Remdesivir
      Extensive vaccination (>70%)
      • v
        Milder pulmonary disease
      • v
        Wider, longer organ system Involvement
      • v
        Long-COVID/PASC: months to years of disability
      • v
        Viral intracellular residence in brain, heart, lungs, GI tract, pancreas
      • v
        CNS microvascular disease
      • v
        Mutations insitu
      • v
        Greater role of T cell immunity
      Re-opening of human interactionsNew treatments
      • v
        Evolution of vaccines
      • v
        Emerging anti-viral drugs
      • v
        Nanobodies
      Secretion of type 1 interferon is critical for optimal acute host defense in Phase 1. For several reasons, up to 20 % of individuals in the USA are unable to produce type 1 interferon at protective levels or respond to type 1 interferon optimally after SARS-CoV-2 infection and thus are highly susceptible to severe acute COVID-19.
      • Zhang Q
      • Bastard P
      • Effort CHG
      • Cobat A
      • Casanova JL.
      Human genetic and immunological determinants of critical COVID-19 pneumonia.
      Effective immunity to SARS-CoV-2 through vaccines has decreased the severity of acute COVID-19 in Phase 1, but the risk of developing Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) or long-COVID in Phase 2 is not clearly related to the severity of acute COVID-19. Perhaps as a result, current preventative and treatment measures for Phase 1 COVID-19 have not appreciably reduced the prevalence or severity of PASC, except for a probable modest reduction in cardiovascular complications associated with prior full vaccination.
      • Strain WD
      • Sherwood O
      • Banerjee A
      • Van der Togt V
      • Hishmeh L
      • Rossman J.
      The Impact of COVID Vaccination on Symptoms of Long COVID: An International Survey of People with Lived Experience of Long COVID.
      ,
      • Kim YE
      • Huh K
      • Park YJ
      • Peck KR
      • Jung J.
      Association Between Vaccination and Acute Myocardial Infarction and Ischemic Stroke After COVID-19 Infection.
      Further, there is as yet no proven treatment for established PASC.
      Since all cellular involvement by SARS-CoV-2 is accompanied by inflammation capable of diminishing organ function, it is difficult to separate direct viral effects from those of attendant inflammation. For abnormal cardiac rhythms, however, the evidence favors a causal pathophysiological role of inflammatory cytokines in Phase 2.
      • WHOREAfC-TW Group
      • M Shankar-Hari
      • Vale CL
      • et al.
      Association Between Administration of IL-6 Antagonists and Mortality Among Patients Hospitalized for COVID-19: A Meta-analysis.
      Eliminating SARS-CoV-2 eventually decreases tissue inflammation, but anti-inflammatory therapy alone has not had striking beneficial effects in PASC. Microvascular disease and microclots, that first were observed with SPECT-PT scans in lungs of PASC patients,
      • Buonsenso D
      • Di Giuda D
      • Sigfrid L
      • et al.
      Evidence of lung perfusion defects and ongoing inflammation in an adolescent with post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection.
      may accompany the inflammation of Phase 2 in multiple organ systems and further diminish organ functions (Table 1).
      Host and viral factors determine the effectiveness of immunity in diminishing SARS-CoV-2 infectivity, intracellular persistence and evasion of host defenses. As type 1 interferon and neutralizing antibody levels rise acutely in Phase 1, T cell blood levels and protective functions decrease in part due to mitochondrial dysfunction.
      • Mo Y
      • To KK
      • Zhou R
      • et al.
      Mitochondrial Dysfunction Associates With Acute T Lymphocytopenia and Impaired Functionality in COVID-19 Patients.
      In prolonged Phase 1 COVID-19 and in Phase 2 PASC after vaccination, neutralizing antibody and T cell blood levels rise and decay in parallel, but T cell functional activation remains elevated as neutralizing antibody levels decline.
      • Kent SJ
      • Khoury DS
      • Reynaldi A
      • et al.
      Disentangling the relative importance of T cell responses in COVID-19: leading actors or supporting cast?.
      ,
      • Phetsouphanh C
      • Darley DR
      • Wilson DB
      • et al.
      Immunological dysfunction persists for 8 months following initial mild-to-moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection.
      In PASC therefore, T cell immunity is likely to become progressively more important to host defense for two reasons. First, T cell immunity has a major role in eradicating the widespread intracellular SARS-CoV-2 characteristic of PASC, whereas neutralizing antibody cannot enter cells. Second, lingering intracellular SARS-CoV-2 in PASC rapidly accumulates many mutations typical of dangerous variants of concern, including Omicron,
      • Sonnleitner ST
      • Prelog M
      • Sonnleitner S
      • et al.
      Cumulative SARS-CoV-2 mutations and corresponding changes in immunity in an immunocompromised patient indicate viral evolution within the host.
      against which neutralizing antibodies have far lower titers.
      • Kent SJ
      • Khoury DS
      • Reynaldi A
      • et al.
      Disentangling the relative importance of T cell responses in COVID-19: leading actors or supporting cast?.
      In contrast, T cell immunity to these variants of concern remains high over time.
      • Kent SJ
      • Khoury DS
      • Reynaldi A
      • et al.
      Disentangling the relative importance of T cell responses in COVID-19: leading actors or supporting cast?.
      Laboratory blood tests can confirm the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in specific tissues.
      • Peluso MJ
      • Deeks SG
      • Mustapic M
      • et al.
      SARS-CoV-2 and Mitochondrial Proteins in Neural-Derived Exosomes of COVID-19.
      The current strategies of vaccination alone do not eliminate or even suppress established PASC, in part because antibodies from conventional active or passive immunization do not enter cells to eliminate SARS-CoV-2. Therapeutic emphasis now must be placed on appropriate use of anti-viral drugs that enter infected cells and on nano-antibodies (nanobodies) that also enter cells and neutralize SARS-CoV-2.
      • Ledford H.
      Can drugs reduce the risk of long COVID? What scientists know so far.
      • Xiang Y
      • Nambulli S
      • Xiao Z
      • et al.
      Versatile and multivalent nanobodies efficiently neutralize SARS-CoV-2.
      • Custodio TF
      • Das H
      • Sheward DJ
      • et al.
      Selection, biophysical and structural analysis of synthetic nanobodies that effectively neutralize SARS-CoV-2.
      • Koenig PA
      • Das H
      • Liu H
      • et al.
      Structure-guided multivalent nanobodies block SARS-CoV-2 infection and suppress mutational escape.
      These specialized diagnostic and therapeutic approaches will be critical for elimination of PASC and complete suppression of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

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